Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf Race & Pace Analysis

Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf

When the 2005 Breeders' Cup World Thoroughbred Championships take place on October 29, Saturday, champion horses from all over North America and as far as Europe and Japan will be pitted against one another. Belmont Park in Elmont, New York, which has the world's biggest dirt race course of any thoroughbred track, will play host to eight major races on a single championship day card: Breeders' Cup Classic, Distaff, Filly & Mare Turf, Juvenile, Juvenile Fillies, Mile, Sprint, Turf. Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf race and pace analysis point to strong contenders being Alexander Goldrun (Ireland), Alinghi (Australia), Angara (Great Britain), Intercontinental (Great Britain), Latice (Ireland), Megahertz (Great Britain), Melhor Ainda, Ouija Board (Great Britain), Sand Springs, Shawanda (Ireland), Wend, and Wonder Again.

The Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf is one likely to be stolen, what with not much obvious early speed. Expect the pace to be quite deliberate, as the race is longer than typically run. Leaders could back it down another notch and set even softer fractions. Wonder Again, who finished third in the 2004 Filly & Mare Turf, has a running style that puts her among those who could inherit the lead and be likely candidates for a theft. If no one races to the lead, the winner could very well come from no further back than mid-pack in the early going, and no further back than fourth as they hit the turn. Ouija Board is one who likes to stay fairly close, and should be able to with the pace. She was a morning like favorite, and went on to win the 2004 Filly & Mare Turf.

Historically, the Filly & Mare Turf is supposed to be one dominated by the European contingents - not excluding defending champ Ouija Board from Great Britain. At least seven of this year's top racing picks are European, four from Great Britain and three from Ireland. One top contender, Alinghi, is from Australia. Western contenders have fallen short at the Filly & Mare Turf in recent years. Since American horse bettors will be looking to wager on a US-based horse but find none, the money will be focused on the favorite. Ouija Board bagged the championship last year as the favorite at 0.90 odds.

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